Brief for Policy and Decision Makers for West Africa

Weather Assessment

The equatorial zone of the Pacific Ocean is currently dominated by moderate warming condition. The temperatures (SSTs) are above average from the west-central to eastern Pacific Ocean. A weakening warming to neutral conditions is very likely in the next three month with an 80% chance of ENSO-Neutral and 13% for El Niño during May to July 2024. Over Tropical North Atlantic and the southern tropical Atlantic the SST anomaly warming condition are currently observe and during the coming month these conditions are very likely to persist, The Mediterranean SST are near average, the prediction from May to September period are expected neutral to warm conditions. These will lead to above average precipitation to tendency normal over the most of Sahel, the near average precipitation to tendency below average from coastal areas of the Guinea Gulf countries.